Covid-19 third wave likely in August, peak in October: Study

Covid-19 third wave in August, peak in October: Study
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India may see a fresh spurt in Covid-19 cases. This may become a reality as soon as August with the third wave peaking. Experts warn that it could be with less than 100,000 infections a day in the best-case scenario or nearly 150,000 in the worst scenario.

Bloomberg citing researchers led by Mathukumalli Vidyasagar and Manindra Agrawal at the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) in Hyderabad and Kanpur has conducted a study. It says the surge in Covid-19 cases will push the third wave of the pandemic. And it will likely peak in October.

As per reports, the higher Covid-19 toll from Kerala and Maharashtra could ‘skew the picture.’

However, the third wave of Covid-19 is unlikely to be as brutal as the second wave.

This prediction by the researchers is based on a mathematical model.

Researcher Vidyasagar, a professor at IIT Hyderabad in May had said that India’s coronavirus outbreak could peak in the coming days. His predictions are based on the mathematical model.

India reported 41,831 Covid-19 cases and 541 deaths on Sunday. This comes as the Centre cautions 10 states, including Kerala, Maharashtra and northeastern regions, against laidback attitude towards the Covid guidelines.

The states and Centre have also come up with a couple of steps to curb the rise in fresh cases.

Experts have also been warning that the Delta variant spreads as easily as chickenpox. It can be passed on by vaccinated people, can fuel the surge.

As per the data from the Indian Sars-CoV-2 Genomic Consortium (INSACOG), nearly 8 of every 10 Covid-19 cases in May, June and July were caused by Delta variant.

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