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Weather update: Forecast of heavy showers over North and South India

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Weather update: As per the India Meteorological Department (IMD), light rains are likely to bring the temperature down in and around Delhi on Wednesday.

The minimum temperature is likely to settle at 21 degrees Celsius in Delhi.

Conditions are now favourable for the withdrawal of the southwest monsoon from the northwest and central India during the next 3-4 days.

Today’s weather update (Oct 12)

Heavy rainfall is likely over Bihar, Sikkim, West Bengal, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam and Meghalaya. Besides, Nagaland, Manipur, Tripura, Mizoram, Konkan, Goa and the whole of south India are also likely to witness rainfall today.

Weather update for the next 2 days (Oct 13-14)

Heavy rainfall over coastal Andhra Pradesh and Yanam, Rayalaseema, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and Karaikal are very likely.

Weather update for (Oct 15-16)

Heavy rainfall is very likely over Andaman and Nicobar Islands, Rayalaseema, TamilNadu, Puducherry, Kerala, Karaikal and Mahe.

Weather update: Forecast for this week (Oct 17 and 19)

Moderate rainfall is also likely over East, Northeast and peninsular India, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh and along the West coast.

The rainfall recorded in October so far is the highest for October since 1956. As per the IMD, Delhi recorded 236.2 mm of rainfall in October 1956.

The maximum temperature on Tuesday settled at 28.9 degrees Celsius while the minimum temperature remained 20.8 degrees Celsius.

IMD’s weather bulletin forecasts a cyclonic circulation over Punjab and adjoining Haryana in the lower tropospheric levels.

Another cyclonic circulation lies over Kerala in lower tropospheric levels.

IMD weather Forecast for today (October 12)

The cyclonic circulation over the north Andaman Sea in lower tropospheric levels is very likely to move nearly westwards during the next 3-4 days.

These disturbances are likely to bring fresh spells of rainfall over Tamil Nadu for the next five days. It will also affect the interior of Karnataka during the next two days. Coming back to the north, light to moderate rainfall is very likely over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim and Bihar.

IMD Weather Forecast for October 13

Thunderstorm with lightning is also very likely over coastal AP, Yanam, Telangana, Rayalaseema, Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Mahe for October 14.

Thunderstorm with lightning is likely over MP, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, West Bengal, Goa, coastal AP, Telangana, Rayalaseema, Kerala and Mahe.

Why heavy rains in October?

Rains in October are a very rare phenomenon. Fresh spell of showers have been recorded in several parts of northern India so far.

But these are certainly not the usual monsoon showers. These are the outcomes of a western disturbance, formed as a trough in mid and upper tropospheric levels.

So, the interaction of the western disturbance with the cyclonic circulation is what is causing the heavy rains in several parts of Bihar, UP, and Uttarakhand.

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Hina Fatima Khan
Hina Fatima Khan
Multi-media Journalist based in India with an experience of 7 years in the industry, Hina Fatima Khan works as a Senior Sub-Editor at The Vocal News. Her areas of interest are Politics, Business, History and World Affairs. She is also a Space enthusiast and enjoys scrabble in the Newspapers. She has done Masters in Convergent Journalism from Mass communication Research Centre (MCRC), Jamia Millia Islamia University.

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